Market Simulator
Four markets, one month at a time. You get prices and a newspaper, and nothing else — no chart of what happens next, no name you could look up.
Prices are simulated and companies are fictional, calibrated so each market’s index and each company’s peak-to-trough fall match the documented figures for the real event it is modeled on. Fictional names are the point: if you could recognize the event from the tape, you would be trading with hindsight instead of judgment.
- Practice environment
- Not a validated instrument
You learn: What you do when a position moves against you and hindsight is unavailable — whether you add, hold, or sell, and how that changed month to month.
What the report reads off your record
- What you did as it fell
- Whether you added, held, or sold when a position moved against you — and whether that answer changed between the first drawdown and the fourth.
- How concentrated you got
- Whether conviction showed up as a large position in one company or as a spread across several, and what that cost or saved you when the market turned.
- How you used the newspaper
- Each month's report is the information a trader had at that node and no more. Whether you traded ahead of the news or after it is visible in the record.
10–20 minutes per scenario · no account needed. This is not a validated measure of risk tolerance and nothing here is written to your psychology profile — the money is not real, which weakens it against a study that pays in cash. For a task built as a measure, the Balloon Risk Task is the one to take.